Navigating the Future of Peru's Coastal Systems: Exploring Adaptation Pathways for Fisheries and Aquaculture Under Compound Drivers

Abstract:
Peru’s coastal fisheries and aquaculture operate at the intersection of climate pressures (ENSO, warming seas), ecological shifts, and socioeconomic challenges. Drawing on trophic modeling (Ecopath with Ecosim) and stakeholder insights, this talk explores the interconnected drivers shaping these systems - from masked feedbacks to unintended trade-offs - and how such models can inform broader social-ecological discussions. We’ll discuss emerging lessons from Sechura Bay, where adaptation scenarios reveal both opportunities and tensions between ecological resilience and human needs, with a focus on scallop aquaculture dynamics. Finally, we’ll reflect on pathways forward - and ways to design, test, and assess them - for Peru’s coastal systems in an era of compound change.